These raw data have not been subjected to the National Ocean Service's quality control or quality assurance procedures and do not meet the criteria and standards of official National Ocean Service data. They are released for limited public use as preliminary data to be used only with appropriate caution.
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The Operational Forecast Systems (OFS) have been created by NOAA/NOS to provide the maritime community with improved short-term predictions of physical characteristics, such as water levels, currents, water temperatures and salinities, in specific estuaries. Please be advised that these predictions are based on hydrodynamic models and, as such, should be considered as computer-generated forecast guidance.
OFSs run a numerical model several times a day (the nowcast) to simulate water levels and four times a day (the forecast) to produce a short-term forecast of estuarine water levels. The model is an improvement over the Tide Tables, which use only historical data to predict the tides. In addition to the tides, the model includes water level deviations in the estuaries caused by wind and ocean water level changes. National Weather Service forecast models provide predicted wind and ocean water level allowing the model to make predictions of water level and current velocity changes in the Bay for the near future, currently between one and two days. However, the wind and ocean water level forecasts are limited in their accuracy beyond one to two days, thus tide table predictions are probably better for longer term predictions.
The OFS water level nowcasts and forecasts are accurate to within 6 inches 90% of the time. Occasional very large high or low water level events may cause greater errors. Even during extreme events the timing and tendency toward water level rise or fall are often correct, although the amplitude of the error may be greater than 6 inches. A detailed analysis of the accuracy of the OFSs can be found on this web site in the OFS skill assessment documents.
The information on government servers are in the public domain, unless specifically annotated otherwise, and may be used freely by the public. Before using information obtained from this server, special attention should be given to the date and time of the data and products being displayed. This information shall not be modified in content and then presented as official government material.
The user assumes the entire risk related to its use of these data. NOS is providing these data "as is," and NOS disclaims any and all warranties, whether express or implied, including (without limitation) any implied warranties of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose. In no event will NOS be liable to you or to any third party for any direct, indirect, incidental, consequential, special or exemplary damages or lost profit resulting from any use or misuse of this data.
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